Stocks·NASDAQ:AUR

Aurora Innovation (AUR)

I don't own it · as I said on Nov 4, 2026

Worth knowing: Oct 28, 2026: Prospectus for a sale off the shelf (new shares, an at-the-market program, or bonds) (424B5).
OverviewFinancialsOwnersFilings
Loading chart…
Revenue, last 12 months$7M+250% vs. a year before
Free cash flow, last 12 months-$800MBurning cash
Cash and short-term investments$1.03BNo debt reported
Shares outstanding, past year+4.4%2B shares now
Cash runway (my math)16 monthsAt $200M burned a quarter

My take

Average analyst target $11.55 as of Nov 2, 2026 · via Stock Analysis · Scorecard

What I'm watching

  • Open More than 200 driverless trucks on the road by Feb 28, 2027
  • Open Volvo's trucks launch with the Aurora driver, and Hirschbach and Charger turn their non-binding plans into signed contracts by Jun 30, 2027
  • Open More than 1,000 driverless trucks, with break-even gross margins around the 500-truck mark by Dec 31, 2027
  • Open Share count: about 2 billion in September 2026, up almost 4% in 9 months. Watch it every quarter.
My bull and bear case →

Every video where I mention AUR

The last 12 months

  1. Nov 5, 2026SCHEDULE 13GAn investor reported a 5%+ stake
  2. Nov 4, 2026VideoMy video: Aurora Stock (AUR): What Has to Go Right for $11.55?
  3. Oct 28, 2026424B5Prospectus for a sale off the shelf (new shares, an at-the-market program, or bonds)
  4. Oct 28, 202610-QQuarterly report
  5. Oct 28, 20268-KReleased quarterly results
  6. Jul 29, 202610-QQuarterly report
  7. Jul 29, 20268-KReleased quarterly results
  8. May 26, 20268-KShareholder vote results
  9. May 14, 2026SCHEDULE 13GAn investor reported a 5%+ stake
  10. May 6, 202610-QQuarterly report
  11. May 6, 20268-KReleased quarterly results
  12. Apr 28, 2026SCHEDULE 13GAn investor reported a 5%+ stake
  13. Feb 27, 20268-KExecutive or board change
  14. Feb 11, 2026S-8Registered shares for employee stock plans

All filings →

Cash runway: about 16 months. Aurora Innovation had $1.03B in cash and short-term investments on Sep 30, 2026 and burned $800M of free cash flow over the 12 months before that, about $200M a quarter. Divide one by the other and that's the runway, if nothing changes.

My math, not the company's. It doesn't count money raised after Sep 30, 2026 (check the Filings tab for offerings), credit lines, or plans to cut spending.

Revenue by year
2019: $19.6M20192020: $020202021: $82M20212022: $68M20222023: $020232024: $020242025: $3M2025$3M
Show the numbers
Revenue by year
2019$19.6M
2020$0
2021$82M
2022$68M
2023$0
2024$0
2025$3M
Revenue by quarter calendar quarter the period ended in
Q2 24: $0Q2 24Q3 24: $0Q3 24Q4 24: $0Q4 24Q1 25: $0Q1 25Q2 25: $1MQ2 25Q3 25: $1MQ3 25Q4 25: $1MQ4 25Q1 26: $1MQ1 26Q2 26: $2MQ2 26Q3 26: $3MQ3 26$3M
Show the numbers
Revenue by quarter
Q2 24$0
Q3 24$0
Q4 24$0
Q1 25$0
Q2 25$1M
Q3 25$1M
Q4 25$1M
Q1 26$1M
Q2 26$2M
Q3 26$3M
Operating income (loss) by year profit from the business before interest and taxes
2019: -$114M20192020: -$218M20202021: -$731M20212022: -$1.85B20222023: -$835M20232024: -$786M20242025: -$901M2025-$901M
Show the numbers
Operating income (loss) by year
2019-$114M
2020-$218M
2021-$731M
2022-$1.85B
2023-$835M
2024-$786M
2025-$901M
Free cash flow by year cash from operations minus spending on buildings and equipment
2019: -$98.6M20192020: -$199M20202021: -$612M20212022: -$523M20222023: -$613M20232024: -$645M20242025: -$612M2025-$612M
Show the numbers
Free cash flow by year
2019-$98.6M
2020-$199M
2021-$612M
2022-$523M
2023-$613M
2024-$645M
2025-$612M
Cash vs. debt

Cash and short-term investmentsDebt

2019 · Cash and short-term investments: $246M20192020 · Cash and short-term investments: $387M20202021 · Cash and short-term investments: $1.61B20212022 · Cash and short-term investments: $1.10B20222023 · Cash and short-term investments: $1.20B20232024 · Cash and short-term investments: $1.22B20242025 · Cash and short-term investments: $1.28B2025
Show the numbers
Cash and short-term investmentsDebt
2019$246Mn/a
2020$387Mn/a
2021$1.61Bn/a
2022$1.10Bn/a
2023$1.20Bn/a
2024$1.22Bn/a
2025$1.28Bn/a
Stock pay vs. buybacks

Stock-based pay to employeesSpent buying back shares

2020 · Stock-based pay to employees: $17M2020 · Spent buying back shares: $020202021 · Stock-based pay to employees: $220M2021 · Spent buying back shares: $755M20212022 · Stock-based pay to employees: $156M2022 · Spent buying back shares: $020222023 · Stock-based pay to employees: $160M2023 · Spent buying back shares: $020232024 · Stock-based pay to employees: $144M2024 · Spent buying back shares: $020242025 · Stock-based pay to employees: $188M2025 · Spent buying back shares: $02025
Show the numbers
Stock-based pay to employeesSpent buying back shares
2020$17M$0
2021$220M$755M
2022$156M$0
2023$160M$0
2024$144M$0
2025$188M$0

If buybacks are smaller than stock pay, the buyback isn't shrinking the share count; it's soaking up shares handed to employees.

Compare AUR with other stocks →

From the company's own SEC filings via SEC EDGAR, latest period ended Sep 30, 2026. Numbers can be restated later. Not investment advice.

Dilution

Shares outstanding
Sep 2022: 1.2BDec 2022: 1.2BDec 2022Jun 2023: 1.2BSep 2023: 1.5BSep 2023Dec 2023: 1.5BMar 2024: 1.5BMar 2024Jun 2024: 1.6BSep 2024: 1.7BSep 2024Dec 2024: 1.7BMar 2025: 1.8BMar 2025Jun 2025: 1.8BSep 2025: 1.9BSep 2025Dec 2025: 1.9BMar 2026: 2BMar 2026Jun 2026: 2BSep 2026: 2BSep 20262B
Show the numbers
Shares outstanding
Sep 20221.2B
Dec 20221.2B
Jun 20231.2B
Sep 20231.5B
Dec 20231.5B
Mar 20241.5B
Jun 20241.6B
Sep 20241.7B
Dec 20241.7B
Mar 20251.8B
Jun 20251.8B
Sep 20251.9B
Dec 20251.9B
Mar 20262B
Jun 20262B
Sep 20262B

The share count is up +4.4% in a year, so each share is a slightly smaller slice of the company. What dilution means.

Insider trades

Insider buys, 12 months2$1.50M
Insider sales, 12 months23$1.23B

Bought or sold on the open market

DateWhoWhatSharesValueFiling
Sep 15, 2026Uber Technologies, Inc
10% owner
Sold on the market29.4M$182MForm 4
Aug 17, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
2.8M$19.9MForm 4
Aug 17, 2026Uber Technologies, Inc
10% owner
Sold on the market72M$472MForm 4
Aug 13, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
22.5K$158KForm 4
Aug 12, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
14.9K$104KForm 4
Aug 11, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
1.4M$10.1MForm 4
Aug 10, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
34.7K$243KForm 4
Aug 7, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
1.9M$13.1MForm 4
Aug 5, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
180K$1.27MForm 4
Jun 11, 2026David M. Wehner
Director
Bought on the market82.5K$498KForm 4
Jun 2, 2026Uber Technologies, Inc
10% owner
Sold on the market67.5M$479MForm 4
May 28, 2026Reid Hoffman
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
1.1M$8.31MForm 4
May 18, 2026Reid Hoffman
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
330K$2.48MForm 4
May 15, 2026Reid Hoffman
Director
Sold on the market
2 trades that day
5.2M$40.8MForm 4
Nov 25, 2025Christopher Urmson
Chief Executive Officer, Director
Bought on the market258K$1MForm 4
Everything else: grants, option exercises, tax withholding (38)
DateWhoWhatSharesValueFiling
Oct 1, 2026David M. Wehner
Director
Grant or award2.4Kn/aForm 4
Oct 1, 2026Brittany Bagley
Director
Grant or award3.4Kn/aForm 4
Aug 20, 2026Ossa Fisher
President
Shares withheld for taxes70.3K$436KForm 4
Aug 20, 2026David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Shares withheld for taxes54.4K$337KForm 4
Aug 20, 2026Shelley Webb
See Remarks
Shares withheld for taxes41.7K$259KForm 4
Aug 17, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
2.8Mn/aForm 4
Aug 13, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
22.5Kn/aForm 4
Aug 12, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
14.9Kn/aForm 4
Aug 11, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
1.4Mn/aForm 4
Aug 10, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Gift909Kn/aForm 4
Aug 10, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
34.7Kn/aForm 4
Aug 7, 2026Michelangelo Volpi
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
1.5Mn/aForm 4
Jul 1, 2026Brittany Bagley
Director
Grant or award3.2Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026Lara Caimi
Director
Grant or award73.1Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026Brittany Bagley
Director
Grant or award36.5Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026Reid Hoffman
Director
Grant or award36.5Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026Gloria R. Boyland
Director
Grant or award36.5Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026John J Donahoe
Director
Grant or award36.5Kn/aForm 4
May 21, 2026David M. Wehner
Director
Grant or award36.5Kn/aForm 4
May 20, 2026Ossa Fisher
President
Shares withheld for taxes70.3K$488KForm 4
May 20, 2026David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Shares withheld for taxes54.4K$378KForm 4
May 20, 2026Shelley Webb
See Remarks
Shares withheld for taxes41.7K$289KForm 4
Apr 1, 2026Brittany Bagley
Director
Grant or award4.8Kn/aForm 4
Mar 23, 2026Ossa Fisher
President
Grant or award437Kn/aForm 4
Mar 23, 2026Shelley Webb
See Remarks
Grant or award437Kn/aForm 4
Mar 23, 2026David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Grant or award655Kn/aForm 4
Mar 13, 2026David M. Wehner
Director
Grant or award51.2Kn/aForm 4
Feb 20, 2026Shelley Webb
See Remarks
Shares withheld for taxes29.2K$142KForm 4
Feb 20, 2026Ossa Fisher
President
Shares withheld for taxes60.8K$295KForm 4
Feb 20, 2026David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Shares withheld for taxes39.1K$190KForm 4
Jan 2, 2026Brittany Bagley
Director
Grant or award5Kn/aForm 4
Dec 31, 2025David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2 trades that day
160Kn/aForm 4
Dec 30, 2025David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Gift
2 trades that day
160Kn/aForm 4
Dec 16, 2025Christopher Urmson
Chief Executive Officer, Director
Gift
2 trades that day
516Kn/aForm 4
Nov 20, 2025Shelley Webb
See Remarks
Shares withheld for taxes83.2K$319KForm 4
Nov 20, 2025Ossa Fisher
President
Shares withheld for taxes59.5K$228KForm 4
Nov 20, 2025David Maday
Chief Financial Officer
Shares withheld for taxes51.5K$197KForm 4
Oct 31, 2025Reid Hoffman
Director
Converted
2 trades that day
6.7Mn/aForm 4

An insider buying with their own money is a stronger signal than a sale: people sell for taxes, houses and diversification. "Planned" sales were scheduled months ahead under a 10b5-1 plan. Source: SEC Form 4.

Famous investors who own it

InvestorQuarterSharesValueShare of fundChange
Cathie Wood (ARK Investment Management)Q2 266.1M$41.8M0.3%Trimmed (-5%)
Dan Loeb (Third Point)Q2 261M$7.04M0.2%No change
Stanley Druckenmiller (Duquesne Family Office)Q2 26634K$4.32M0.1%New position

From each fund's latest 13F, filed up to 45 days after the quarter ends, so it's old news by design. 13Fs only show US stock owned on the last day of the quarter: no short sales, and "added" or "trimmed" compares two snapshots, not actual trades. See what these funds bought and sold.

Failed trades

Failed trades (fails to deliver) shares that weren't delivered on time when a trade settled
Jul 2: 110KJul 6: 18.8KJul 17: 60Jul 21: 419Jul 21Jul 28: 5Jul 29: 24.4KJul 31: 666Aug 3: 1.1KAug 3Aug 4: 57.9KAug 5: 85.2KAug 6: 293Aug 7: 18.8KAug 7Aug 10: 2.3KAug 11: 1.4KAug 13: 54Aug 17: 44.7KAug 17Aug 18: 2.8MAug 25: 458KAug 26: 12.3KAug 28: 19.6KAug 28Aug 31: 94.8KSep 2: 3KSep 3: 11.6KSep 4: 3.9KSep 4Sep 8: 14.1KSep 9: 23.7KSep 10: 15.9KSep 15: 4.4KSep 15Sep 16: 409Sep 17: 15.5KSep 21: 33Sep 24: 402KSep 24Sep 25: 1.4MOct 1: 5.2KOct 5: 4.2KOct 6: 191KOct 6Oct 7: 24Oct 8: 2.7KOct 9: 96.3KOct 13: 6Oct 136
Show the numbers
Failed trades (fails to deliver)
Jul 2110K
Jul 618.8K
Jul 1760
Jul 21419
Jul 285
Jul 2924.4K
Jul 31666
Aug 31.1K
Aug 457.9K
Aug 585.2K
Aug 6293
Aug 718.8K
Aug 102.3K
Aug 111.4K
Aug 1354
Aug 1744.7K
Aug 182.8M
Aug 25458K
Aug 2612.3K
Aug 2819.6K
Aug 3194.8K
Sep 23K
Sep 311.6K
Sep 43.9K
Sep 814.1K
Sep 923.7K
Sep 1015.9K
Sep 154.4K
Sep 16409
Sep 1715.5K
Sep 2133
Sep 24402K
Sep 251.4M
Oct 15.2K
Oct 54.2K
Oct 6191K
Oct 724
Oct 82.7K
Oct 996.3K
Oct 136

From the SEC's fails-to-deliver data, which runs two to four weeks behind. A spike can mean heavy short selling or just back-office delays; it isn't proof of anything on its own. Short interest isn't shown: FINRA's terms don't allow republishing it.

Share offerings

Selling new shares dilutes current owners. A "shelf" is permission to sell later; a 424B5 usually means a sale is actually happening.

What they told the SEC, in plain English

Every 8-K (the report a company files when something big happens) in the last two years. Red ones are worth a closer look: auditor changes, restatements, late reports, listing problems.

What changed in the latest annual report

Comparing the risk factors in the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026 with the one filed Feb 14, 2025: 3 new and 2 removed, out of 67.

New this year

  • Our business plans require a significant amount of capital, and if we cannot obtain additional financing when needed on acceptable terms, or at all, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.
  • We are dependent on others for the supply of vehicles, and are also dependent on our suppliers, some of which are single or limited source suppliers, for the production, provision, and/or full lifecycle support of the current and future generations of our Aurora Driver system.
  • In certain cases, we plan to upfit, including by retaining third parties on our behalf, vehicles with the Aurora Driver and the necessary redundancies for driverless operations, and failures or delays in these activities could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, and…
Dropped from last year (2)
  • We publicly disclose certain progress and performance metrics, including the Autonomy Readiness Measure and the Autonomy Performance Indicator. These metrics are subject to inherent challenges in measurement; real or perceived inaccuracies in such metrics and metrics values that are below…
  • Our business plans require a significant amount of capital. In addition, our future capital needs may require us to sell additional equity or debt securities that may dilute our stockholders.

Matched by each risk's headline, so a reworded risk can show up as new. This year's report · last year's.

Search inside Aurora Innovation's filings

Opens the SEC's own full-text search in a new tab, limited to AUR. Every AUR filing on EDGAR.